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Wary investors keep tabs on Fed

Written By limadu on Senin, 26 Agustus 2013 | 21.29

u.s. stocks, dow

Click the chart for more stock market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

But it appears investors are unwilling to make big bets until they have more clarity about the Fed's next moves.

The Dow Jones industrial Average, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq edged up slightly in morning trading. Volume should be extremely light this week as the typically sluggish month of August is coming to a close and investors get ready for the upcoming Labor Day holiday.

Still, the possibility of the Fed starting to trim, or taper, the size of its $85 billion a month in asset purchases was the focus of debate this past weekend as central bankers from around the world took part in the Fed's annual monetary policy symposium in Wyoming.

"The Fed seems divided on the subject," said John Toohey, vice president of equity investments at USAA Investments. Some market experts speculate that the Fed may begin to taper at its next monetary policy in mid-Septemeber. Toohey said the market will likely experience increased volatility leading up to that as investors wait in anticipation.

Emerging economies like India, Brazil and Indonesia are especially vulnerable to changes in Fed policy.

The U.S. dollar is already rising versus foreign currencies like the Brazilian real and the Indian rupee, and some investors are pulling their money out of these countries, triggering fears of a panic.

A downbeat report on manufacturing was also limited the gains. Durable goods orders tumbled 7.3% in July, the most in almost a year. The decline was worse than the 5% drop analysts were expecting, and followed three months of strong increases.

What's moving: Shares of Amgen (AMGN, Fortune 500) rose sharply after it agreed to buy Onyx Pharmaceuticals (ONXX) for $10.4 billion, in a deal that will give Amgen access to a wide range of cancer treatment drugs.

Meanwhile, the BATS Global Markets and Direct Edge Holdings exchanges announced that they will merge in a deal that would create that second-largest stock exchange by trading volume. The deal comes just a few days after a major trading glitch that affected Nasdaq OMX (NDAQ). BATS also experienced significant trading problems a year ago, issues that forced the company to cancel its plans to go public.

Related: Fear & Greed Index shows fear

World markets: European markets were lower in morning trading. The London Stock Exchange is closed for a holiday.

Asian markets ended mixed after a relatively calm trading session, with the Shanghai Composite adding 1.9% and the Hang Seng increasing 0.7%. The Nikkei ended in negative territory. To top of page

First Published: August 26, 2013: 9:46 AM ET


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Trump defends his school, prosecutor calls it 'a scam'

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

During separate interviews on CNN's "New Day," New York State Attorney General Eric Schneiderman called the school a "bait-and-switch scheme," and Trump accused the prosecutor of actions akin to extortion.

Still, Trump dismissed the importance of the matter.

"He's a lightweight," Trump said of the state's attorney general.

It's the aftermath of a $40 million civil lawsuit Schneiderman filed against Trump on Saturday, accusing Trump of defrauding students who attended the billionaire's for-profit school.

Related: N.Y. attorney general suing Trump's school for fraud

The lawsuit claims Trump used his celebrity status to lure students into a school that over-promised and under-delivered. A free seminar urged prospective students to pay $1,495 for a three-day workshop. That, in turn, was used to sell a $34,995 course.

In the school's commercials, Trump tells viewers, "We're going to teach you better than the business schools are going to teach you."

"At Trump University, we teach success. That's what it's all about: success. It's going to happen to you," he says, as triumphant horns blast in the background.

Schneiderman said Monday that the lawsuit completes one branch of a long-running investigation into for-profit schools. He said it was prompted by dozens of complaints from former students who contacted his office and the Better Business Bureau, a nationwide nonprofit organization.

The attorney general said teachers never got certified. He noted Trump University isn't even a university, which is defined as a collection of colleges. And although students were promised an in-person meeting with Trump, "all they got was the chance to stand next to a life-sized poster," Schneiderman said.

"We discovered that it was a classic bait-and-switch scheme. It was a scam," he said.

Schneiderman said his lawsuit partly relies on the sworn testimony of Trump University's former president, who explained that Trump maintained a close eye on the school and read all of its promotional material. Schneiderman also said he got hold of the school's "playbook," which insisted that instructors keep pitching the upgraded, more expensive programs.

"This is a pretty straight-forward case. The documents pretty much entitle us to a judgment," Scheiderman said.

When Trump appeared on "New Day" by phone later in the morning, he defended his program by noting the school had received stellar evaluations by students.

"We didn't think we were going to get sued because we have a 98% approval rating," Trump said. "If you go to Wharton or Harvard, they didn't have a 98% approval rating. People loved the school. The school was terrific."

Related: Morgan Stanley escapes federal dragnet

Trump then turned his attention to the prosecutor, saying that Schneiderman approached Trump for political donations -- and when Trump refused, Scheiderman followed with a lawsuit as revenge.

"They solicited us during the investigation for campaign contributions," Trump said.

In anticipation to those accusations, Scheiderman had said, "Prosecutors are all used to people who commit fraud making wild accusations when they're caught."

But Trump cast the legal challenge as a power battle between an overreaching government and a private powerhouse -- himself.

"I could have settled this case very easily. They wanted to settle. I chose not to," Trump said. "We have a lot of happy students. They'll be testifying." To top of page

First Published: August 26, 2013: 9:56 AM ET


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Cancer drug industry sees $10 billion merger

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The agreement, announced Sunday, sent Amgen (AMGN, Fortune 500) shares up 8% and Onyx (ONXX) shares up more than 5% in early trading Monday.

Amgen has agreed to acquire all outstanding Onyx shares for $125 per share, a deal it expects to close at the start of the fourth quarter. Both companies are based in California.

The deal gives Amgen access to Onyx's three cancer treatment drugs: Nexavar, Stivarga and palbociclib. The acquisition will also position Amgen to benefit from the launch of Onyx's Kyprolis, a drug for myeloma, a type of bone cancer.

Related: China widens drugs corruption crackdown

Amgen has long had its eye on Onyx. In June, Amgen made an unsolicited takeover bid for $120 per share. Onyx rejected it, saying the deal "significantly undervalued Onyx" and "was not in the best interest of Onyx or its shareholders."

The second time proved a charm. In a statement Sunday, Amgen CEO Robert A. Bradway said, "I look forward to bringing the talented people of Onyx and Amgen together as we continue to fulfill our commitment to unlocking the potential of biology for patients suffering from serious illnesses." To top of page

First Published: August 26, 2013: 7:34 AM ET


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Busting the 5 myths of college costs

Written By limadu on Minggu, 25 Agustus 2013 | 21.29

college costs

Much of the playbook for taking on the $40,000 average sticker price of a private school is out-of-date or just plain wrong.

(Money Magazine)

So you figure you've got this college thing under control. Not quite. Those expensive schools you ruled out? They might actually cost you less in the long run than some cheaper private or public institutions.

The federal loans for parents you're looking at so your kid doesn't graduate with debt? They may not be a better choice after all. As for thinking a technical major will be more helpful to Junior than a liberal arts degree ... sorry, it doesn't always turn out that way.

Even among savvy parents, myths and misinformation abound. Yet with the average four-year tab ranging from $71,500 at in-state public colleges to $240,000 at elite private schools, the last thing you need is to pay more than necessary, borrow more than you can handle, or pass up a college that can provide a great education at an affordable price.

What follow are the straight facts you need to make smart college choices.

MYTH NO. 1

The myth: Saving for college will hurt your chances of getting financial aid.

The reality: Any money you're able to save probably won't appreciably affect your chances for aid. Here's why: Under the federal financial aid formula, what matters most is your income, which is assessed up to 47%.

Related: Families scramble to pay for college

By contrast, a maximum of just 5.64% of savings in your name will be counted -- after excluding retirement accounts, any small business you own, and your home equity. A savings allowance based on your age and marital status ($30,700 for a married parent age 45 for 2014-15) will also be deducted.

As a result, parental savings typically have little impact in the government calculation of expected family contribution, says financial aid expert Mark Kantrowitz of Edvisor.com. Those savings will come in handy, though, to help pay that high expected contribution from your income.

True, nearly 400 private schools additionally use their own aid formula, which may factor in home and business equity. A high earner with substantial assets might qualify for less or no need-based aid at those schools as a result. Chances are, though, any aid you'd get would be in the form of loans, not grants, so you're still better off saving. Research from T. Rowe Price shows that each dollar you sock away could save you twice that amount in future borrowing costs.

What to do

Make friends with a 529. Only about one in four parents who save for college uses a 529 plan, says student lender Sallie Mae. Big mistake. You get more bang for your buck in a 529, since the money grows tax-free and withdrawals are tax-free, too, as long as the cash is used for school.

Look first to your state's plan; more than half offer a tax break to residents. Other low-fee options include New York's 529, Ohio College Advantage, and Wisconsin Edvest.

Shelter your shelter. "All schools will assess real estate that isn't your primary residence," says financial aid a expert Kal Chany at Campus Consultants in New York City. If you own a second home or investment property, taking out a home-equity line of credit and using the money to pay down consumer debt (to avoid having loan proceeds count as assets) will temporarily reduce your equity -- just make sure you can repay the loan.

Play the name game. Have assets in a taxable account in your kid's name? Uh-oh. They'll be assessed at a 20% rate. Fix: Use the account over time to buy stuff for your child that you'd get anyway, such as a new laptop or SAT tutoring. Then put an equivalent amount into a 529 in your name, where it will be counted at the lower parent rate, says Joe Hurley, head of Savingforcollege.com.

MYTH NO. 2

The myth: You can't afford a private college.

The reality: Don't confuse the eye-popping sticker prices at private schools -- $39,500 a year on average vs. $18,000 for the typical public college -- with the price you'd actually pay. Discounting by private colleges, especially for good students, has become the norm.

These discounts are typically awarded as merit aid and are given regardless of financial need. As the college-age population drops, schools are increasingly competing for students, sparking an awards arms race. In fact, today more students receive merit grants (44%) than get need-based aid (42%). Last year the average discount hit 45%, a record high, says the National Association of College and University Business Officers.

To be sure, Ivy League universities and some other top private schools still offer mainly need-based aid, but their definition of need often extends to higher-income families. And merit aid is available at many other high-quality colleges. For instance, Rice University offers academic grants averaging $15,000 to 22% of students; at Denison, about 46% of students get merit awards, which average $16,300.

What to do

Look for largesse. As your child begins to evaluate colleges, you'll want to assess how generous each is with handouts. To find the percentage of students who get merit money, go to collegedata.com. For details about a specific college's grants, check MeritAid.com.

Run a price check. Get a sense of what a certain private college will cost your family in particular, factoring in aid, by using the school's net price calculator. (Colleges are now required to offer this tool on their websites.)

Some schools load in merit awards based on your student's academic profile, while others give only a rough estimate. Either way, the results will be a good starting point for a discussion with the school's aid officer. Also compare the results with net prices at any state colleges your child is interested in; merit awards are on the rise at public schools too.

Improve your odds. Most private colleges are secretive about the formulas used to award merit aid. In general, your child has a better shot if her grades and SAT scores rank higher than the averages for a particular school, says Lynn O'Shaughnessy, head of Thecollegesolution.com.

Other factors that may provide an edge: intended major (a less popular one can help), community service, and musical talent. Some colleges even rate your child's interest in attending -- has yours taken a campus tour?

MYTH NO. 3

The myth: A liberal arts degree won't pay the bills.

The reality: Sure, grads with business or STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) degrees tend to earn above-average salaries. But many liberal arts majors do as well or better.

Case in point: The top-earning 25% of history majors earned a median annual lifetime income of $85,000 vs. $82,000 for computer-programming majors, per a recent analysis by the Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.

And in some careers, lower salaries are offset by better job security. The typical education major earns $42,000, but only 4% are out of work. Biomedical engineers pull in $68,000, but 11% are unemployed.

Related: Does college still pay off?

Major isn't the only determinant of pay, either, notes Anthony Carnevale, the Georgetown Center's director: "Whether your child attends grad school, changes careers, gets promoted, or loses a job has a big impact on lifetime earnings."

Besides, many people end up in fields unrelated to their major -- an analysis of alumni by Williams College math professor Satyan Devadoss found that some arts majors went into banking, engineering, and tech, while some chem majors ended up in government and education. Also, a Chronicle of Higher Education survey of employers found that previous work experience was more important than one's major in hiring recent grads.

What to do

Focus on practical help. When comparing colleges, see what each offers to assist your child in developing work skills, says Andy Chan, VP of career development at Wake Forest University. Find out if the career office reaches out to freshmen, offers courses in résumé building, and helps students land paid internships. Some 60% of 2012 grads who held a paid internship got a job offer, according to the National Association of Colleges and Employers.

More: Student loans won't cripple your child financially.


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GM to return to Super Bowl advertising in 2014

chevy suprbowl silverado

GM's most recent Super Bowl ad, from 2012, for the Chevrolet Silverado.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The automaker said Friday it was planning to advertise in the upcoming game to promote a fleet of new Chevrolet models. Chevy is introducing a dozen new cars and trucks in the U.S. between mid-2013 and the end of 2014.

GM sat out the most recent Super Bowl, citing the steep advertising cost.

"The timing of Super Bowl XLVIII lines up perfectly with our aggressive car and truck launch plans," Tim Mahoney, Chevrolet's chief marketing officer, said in a statement. "The Super Bowl is a great stage for showcasing the Chevrolet brand and our newest cars and trucks."

Related: Time Warner's fix for CBS blackout

GM (GM, Fortune 500) also skipped the big game in 2009 and 2010 as it recovered from bankruptcy and the financial crisis.

Spots during the Super Bowl, set to be broadcast on Fox, are selling for $4 million per 30-second ad, up from $3.8 million during the 2013 broadcast on CBS (CBS, Fortune 500). Fox has already sold 85% of the available ad space.

The steep demand is no surprise. This year's Super Bowl drew 108.4 million viewers, while the 2012 game became the most-watched program in U.S. history with 111.3 million. To top of page

First Published: August 23, 2013: 3:41 PM ET


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Fed warned of global risks to tapering

Jackson Hole, Wyo. (CNNMoney)

But the question is: Should the Fed really care?

That's the focus of much debate at a gathering of central bankers and economists in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Saturday.

While the Fed was trying to save the U.S. economy over the last four years by pushing interest rates down to historic lows and going on a bond-buying spree, the value of the U.S. dollar fell, prompting investors to seek higher returns in riskier markets.

Emerging economies like India, Brazil, Indonesia and countries in Eastern Europe all benefited from large influxes in U.S. dollar-based loans over those years.

Real estate prices rose in China, Korea and Thailand. Stock prices increased in China, Mexico and Russia, and credit became far more available to borrowers in Brazil, China, Korea and Turkey.

But now, as the Fed prepares to slow and then eventually end its stimulative policies, the U.S. dollar is already rising versus foreign currencies like the Brazilian real and the Indian rupee. Investors are pulling their money out of these countries, triggering fears of a panic.

"From the Fed's perspective, communication about tapering is important not only to Americans but to foreign audiences as well," said Glenn Hubbard, dean of the Columbia University Graduate School of Business and a former adviser to President George W. Bush. "A lot of the reaction in emerging markets has been about what the Fed means."

Related: India's finance minister tries to stem panic

Here's how a crisis could play out: As emerging market currencies fall, the fear is that borrowers in these countries may not be able to pay back their dollar-denominated loans. Should they default en masse, their domestic banks could suffer or even fail.

Meanwhile, just because their own currencies are falling, doesn't mean prices will be going down too. In countries that import food and oil from abroad -- often priced in U.S. dollars -- basic necessities will become more expensive to the average person.

It's a recipe for geopolitical unrest, said Philippa Malmgren, president of Principals Asset Management and former economic adviser to President George W. Bush.

"Ironically, they get even more inflation now, and this is a profound issue," she said. "People in emerging markets spend 40% to 70% of their income on food and energy alone. Where an American can grumble about their grocery bill going up, it's marginal for most Americans, whereas for emerging markets, it's life and death."

Two papers presented in Jackson Hole urged central bankers to think of the international repercussions of their own domestic policies. Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, also delivered a speech calling for more international cooperation.

"No country is an island," she said. "In today's interconnected world, the spillovers from domestic policies ... may well feed back to where they began. Looking at the wider effect is in your self-interest. It is in all of our interests."

It's not uncommon for smaller, emerging economies to coordinate monetary policy efforts. Countries from the Balkans, the Black Sea region and Central Asia for instance, created a central bankers club that meets to discuss how to align their policies.

Members include Turkey, Russia, the Czech Republic, Romania, Albania and Kazakhstan, to name a few.

"We have been coordinating policy before the crisis and during the crisis, and I think it is also time now to coordinate the policies after QE3," said Ardian Fullani, governor of the Bank of Albania.

But for the United States, such coordination is not likely to be politically popular. Following the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve offered U.S. dollar swap lines to 14 countries. The cooperation between global central banks was "extremely successful overall" in easing tensions, but also drew ire from Congress and the broader public, noted Jean‐Pierre Landau, a former IMF and World Bank executive director, in a paper presented in Jackson Hole.

Related: How the Fed can taper without killing housing

The discussion remains controversial because it conflicts directly with U.S. law. Congress has charged the Federal Reserve to form its policies around maximizing American jobs and keeping American prices stable. It says nothing about say, food prices or wages in India.

"The Fed is focused, entirely by law, on domestic things and there's always been that clash," said Alan Blinder, Princeton economist and former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. "Anything that pushes us toward cross-border cooperation potentially clashes with the Federal Reserve Act."

If there's one key message that comes out of this year's Jackson Hole symposium, it's a new call to bring monetary policy up to date with the global economy. Indeed, the title of the confab is "Global Dimensions of Unconventional Monetary Policy."

"Most central bankers believe that monetary policy is a purely domestic phenomenon and central bankers should only consider data from inside their own nations," Malmgren said. "The question is: isn't that a very quaint, old-fashioned notion in a highly globalized economy?" To top of page

First Published: August 24, 2013: 3:53 PM ET


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Busting the 5 myths of college costs

college costs

Much of the playbook for taking on the $40,000 average sticker price of a private school is out-of-date or just plain wrong.

(Money Magazine)

So you figure you've got this college thing under control. Not quite. Those expensive schools you ruled out? They might actually cost you less in the long run than some cheaper private or public institutions.

The federal loans for parents you're looking at so your kid doesn't graduate with debt? They may not be a better choice after all. As for thinking a technical major will be more helpful to Junior than a liberal arts degree ... sorry, it doesn't always turn out that way.

Even among savvy parents, myths and misinformation abound. Yet with the average four-year tab ranging from $71,500 at in-state public colleges to $240,000 at elite private schools, the last thing you need is to pay more than necessary, borrow more than you can handle, or pass up a college that can provide a great education at an affordable price.

What follow are the straight facts you need to make smart college choices.

MYTH NO. 1

The myth: Saving for college will hurt your chances of getting financial aid.

The reality: Any money you're able to save probably won't appreciably affect your chances for aid. Here's why: Under the federal financial aid formula, what matters most is your income, which is assessed up to 47%.

Related: Families scramble to pay for college

By contrast, a maximum of just 5.64% of savings in your name will be counted -- after excluding retirement accounts, any small business you own, and your home equity. A savings allowance based on your age and marital status ($30,700 for a married parent age 45 for 2014-15) will also be deducted.

As a result, parental savings typically have little impact in the government calculation of expected family contribution, says financial aid expert Mark Kantrowitz of Edvisor.com. Those savings will come in handy, though, to help pay that high expected contribution from your income.

True, nearly 400 private schools additionally use their own aid formula, which may factor in home and business equity. A high earner with substantial assets might qualify for less or no need-based aid at those schools as a result. Chances are, though, any aid you'd get would be in the form of loans, not grants, so you're still better off saving. Research from T. Rowe Price shows that each dollar you sock away could save you twice that amount in future borrowing costs.

What to do

Make friends with a 529. Only about one in four parents who save for college uses a 529 plan, says student lender Sallie Mae. Big mistake. You get more bang for your buck in a 529, since the money grows tax-free and withdrawals are tax-free, too, as long as the cash is used for school.

Look first to your state's plan; more than half offer a tax break to residents. Other low-fee options include New York's 529, Ohio College Advantage, and Wisconsin Edvest.

Shelter your shelter. "All schools will assess real estate that isn't your primary residence," says financial aid a expert Kal Chany at Campus Consultants in New York City. If you own a second home or investment property, taking out a home-equity line of credit and using the money to pay down consumer debt (to avoid having loan proceeds count as assets) will temporarily reduce your equity -- just make sure you can repay the loan.

Play the name game. Have assets in a taxable account in your kid's name? Uh-oh. They'll be assessed at a 20% rate. Fix: Use the account over time to buy stuff for your child that you'd get anyway, such as a new laptop or SAT tutoring. Then put an equivalent amount into a 529 in your name, where it will be counted at the lower parent rate, says Joe Hurley, head of Savingforcollege.com.

MYTH NO. 2

The myth: You can't afford a private college.

The reality: Don't confuse the eye-popping sticker prices at private schools -- $39,500 a year on average vs. $18,000 for the typical public college -- with the price you'd actually pay. Discounting by private colleges, especially for good students, has become the norm.

These discounts are typically awarded as merit aid and are given regardless of financial need. As the college-age population drops, schools are increasingly competing for students, sparking an awards arms race. In fact, today more students receive merit grants (44%) than get need-based aid (42%). Last year the average discount hit 45%, a record high, says the National Association of College and University Business Officers.

To be sure, Ivy League universities and some other top private schools still offer mainly need-based aid, but their definition of need often extends to higher-income families. And merit aid is available at many other high-quality colleges. For instance, Rice University offers academic grants averaging $15,000 to 22% of students; at Denison, about 46% of students get merit awards, which average $16,300.

What to do

Look for largesse. As your child begins to evaluate colleges, you'll want to assess how generous each is with handouts. To find the percentage of students who get merit money, go to collegedata.com. For details about a specific college's grants, check MeritAid.com.

Run a price check. Get a sense of what a certain private college will cost your family in particular, factoring in aid, by using the school's net price calculator. (Colleges are now required to offer this tool on their websites.)

Some schools load in merit awards based on your student's academic profile, while others give only a rough estimate. Either way, the results will be a good starting point for a discussion with the school's aid officer. Also compare the results with net prices at any state colleges your child is interested in; merit awards are on the rise at public schools too.

Improve your odds. Most private colleges are secretive about the formulas used to award merit aid. In general, your child has a better shot if her grades and SAT scores rank higher than the averages for a particular school, says Lynn O'Shaughnessy, head of Thecollegesolution.com.

Other factors that may provide an edge: intended major (a less popular one can help), community service, and musical talent. Some colleges even rate your child's interest in attending -- has yours taken a campus tour?

MYTH NO. 3

The myth: A liberal arts degree won't pay the bills.

The reality: Sure, grads with business or STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) degrees tend to earn above-average salaries. But many liberal arts majors do as well or better.

Case in point: The top-earning 25% of history majors earned a median annual lifetime income of $85,000 vs. $82,000 for computer-programming majors, per a recent analysis by the Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.

And in some careers, lower salaries are offset by better job security. The typical education major earns $42,000, but only 4% are out of work. Biomedical engineers pull in $68,000, but 11% are unemployed.

Related: Does college still pay off?

Major isn't the only determinant of pay, either, notes Anthony Carnevale, the Georgetown Center's director: "Whether your child attends grad school, changes careers, gets promoted, or loses a job has a big impact on lifetime earnings."

Besides, many people end up in fields unrelated to their major -- an analysis of alumni by Williams College math professor Satyan Devadoss found that some arts majors went into banking, engineering, and tech, while some chem majors ended up in government and education. Also, a Chronicle of Higher Education survey of employers found that previous work experience was more important than one's major in hiring recent grads.

What to do

Focus on practical help. When comparing colleges, see what each offers to assist your child in developing work skills, says Andy Chan, VP of career development at Wake Forest University. Find out if the career office reaches out to freshmen, offers courses in résumé building, and helps students land paid internships. Some 60% of 2012 grads who held a paid internship got a job offer, according to the National Association of Colleges and Employers.

More: Student loans won't cripple your child financially.


19.33 | 0 komentar | Read More

GM to return to Super Bowl advertising in 2014

chevy suprbowl silverado

GM's most recent Super Bowl ad, from 2012, for the Chevrolet Silverado.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The automaker said Friday it was planning to advertise in the upcoming game to promote a fleet of new Chevrolet models. Chevy is introducing a dozen new cars and trucks in the U.S. between mid-2013 and the end of 2014.

GM sat out the most recent Super Bowl, citing the steep advertising cost.

"The timing of Super Bowl XLVIII lines up perfectly with our aggressive car and truck launch plans," Tim Mahoney, Chevrolet's chief marketing officer, said in a statement. "The Super Bowl is a great stage for showcasing the Chevrolet brand and our newest cars and trucks."

Related: Time Warner's fix for CBS blackout

GM (GM, Fortune 500) also skipped the big game in 2009 and 2010 as it recovered from bankruptcy and the financial crisis.

Spots during the Super Bowl, set to be broadcast on Fox, are selling for $4 million per 30-second ad, up from $3.8 million during the 2013 broadcast on CBS (CBS, Fortune 500). Fox has already sold 85% of the available ad space.

The steep demand is no surprise. This year's Super Bowl drew 108.4 million viewers, while the 2012 game became the most-watched program in U.S. history with 111.3 million. To top of page

First Published: August 23, 2013: 3:41 PM ET


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Fed warned of global risks to tapering

Jackson Hole, Wyo. (CNNMoney)

But the question is: Should the Fed really care?

That's the focus of much debate at a gathering of central bankers and economists in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Saturday.

While the Fed was trying to save the U.S. economy over the last four years by pushing interest rates down to historic lows and going on a bond-buying spree, the value of the U.S. dollar fell, prompting investors to seek higher returns in riskier markets.

Emerging economies like India, Brazil, Indonesia and countries in Eastern Europe all benefited from large influxes in U.S. dollar-based loans over those years.

Real estate prices rose in China, Korea and Thailand. Stock prices increased in China, Mexico and Russia, and credit became far more available to borrowers in Brazil, China, Korea and Turkey.

But now, as the Fed prepares to slow and then eventually end its stimulative policies, the U.S. dollar is already rising versus foreign currencies like the Brazilian real and the Indian rupee. Investors are pulling their money out of these countries, triggering fears of a panic.

"From the Fed's perspective, communication about tapering is important not only to Americans but to foreign audiences as well," said Glenn Hubbard, dean of the Columbia University Graduate School of Business and a former adviser to President George W. Bush. "A lot of the reaction in emerging markets has been about what the Fed means."

Related: India's finance minister tries to stem panic

Here's how a crisis could play out: As emerging market currencies fall, the fear is that borrowers in these countries may not be able to pay back their dollar-denominated loans. Should they default en masse, their domestic banks could suffer or even fail.

Meanwhile, just because their own currencies are falling, doesn't mean prices will be going down too. In countries that import food and oil from abroad -- often priced in U.S. dollars -- basic necessities will become more expensive to the average person.

It's a recipe for geopolitical unrest, said Philippa Malmgren, president of Principals Asset Management and former economic adviser to President George W. Bush.

"Ironically, they get even more inflation now, and this is a profound issue," she said. "People in emerging markets spend 40% to 70% of their income on food and energy alone. Where an American can grumble about their grocery bill going up, it's marginal for most Americans, whereas for emerging markets, it's life and death."

Two papers presented in Jackson Hole urged central bankers to think of the international repercussions of their own domestic policies. Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, also delivered a speech calling for more international cooperation.

"No country is an island," she said. "In today's interconnected world, the spillovers from domestic policies ... may well feed back to where they began. Looking at the wider effect is in your self-interest. It is in all of our interests."

It's not uncommon for smaller, emerging economies to coordinate monetary policy efforts. Countries from the Balkans, the Black Sea region and Central Asia for instance, created a central bankers club that meets to discuss how to align their policies.

Members include Turkey, Russia, the Czech Republic, Romania, Albania and Kazakhstan, to name a few.

"We have been coordinating policy before the crisis and during the crisis, and I think it is also time now to coordinate the policies after QE3," said Ardian Fullani, governor of the Bank of Albania.

But for the United States, such coordination is not likely to be politically popular. Following the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve offered U.S. dollar swap lines to 14 countries. The cooperation between global central banks was "extremely successful overall" in easing tensions, but also drew ire from Congress and the broader public, noted Jean‐Pierre Landau, a former IMF and World Bank executive director, in a paper presented in Jackson Hole.

Related: How the Fed can taper without killing housing

The discussion remains controversial because it conflicts directly with U.S. law. Congress has charged the Federal Reserve to form its policies around maximizing American jobs and keeping American prices stable. It says nothing about say, food prices or wages in India.

"The Fed is focused, entirely by law, on domestic things and there's always been that clash," said Alan Blinder, Princeton economist and former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. "Anything that pushes us toward cross-border cooperation potentially clashes with the Federal Reserve Act."

If there's one key message that comes out of this year's Jackson Hole symposium, it's a new call to bring monetary policy up to date with the global economy. Indeed, the title of the confab is "Global Dimensions of Unconventional Monetary Policy."

"Most central bankers believe that monetary policy is a purely domestic phenomenon and central bankers should only consider data from inside their own nations," Malmgren said. "The question is: isn't that a very quaint, old-fashioned notion in a highly globalized economy?" To top of page

First Published: August 24, 2013: 3:53 PM ET


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Steve Ballmer's leaving. Now what?

Written By limadu on Sabtu, 24 Agustus 2013 | 21.29

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The outgoing Microsoft CEO repeatedly failed to anticipate where the consumer technology market was headed or figure out how Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) could innovate in important areas.

That's not to say that Ballmer's tenure at Microsoft was pockmarked by bad ideas and abject failure (though the virus-filled Internet Explorer 6 and bug-ridden Windows Vista happened under his watch). The truth is that a lot of good ideas and products launched during the Ballmer era.

The problem is that many of those products and innovations came about as a desperate response to what competitors had launched. And some were missing one or two critical elements, which ended up holding them back from success.

That still rings true for Microsoft today. Consider the company's lineup of major products:

Windows 8: a reaction to its many missed opportunities in the tablet market. With PC sales sharply declining, its future success is still a big question mark.

Microsoft Surface: flawed execution and marketing confused consumers. Sales have been lackluster.

Windows Phone 8: smartphone users had already moved on to Apple's (AAPL, Fortune 500) iPhone and Google's Android by the time it arrived.

Microsoft Office: still successful, but Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) Docs is catching up and Microsoft knows it. Hence the release of Office 365 and its Web-based app earlier this year.

Xbox: one of the few bright spots of Microsoft's consumer facing divisions. But Microsoft's mistake-filled promotional blitz for the latest Xbox One has been a disaster.

Interactive: A tale of two Microsoft's CEOs

The next Microsoft CEO has a lot of work cut out for him or her.

If Microsoft sticks with its current plan of becoming an Apple-esque devices and services company, its new leader should probably be someone with a laser focus on product innovation (both hardware and software). If Ballmer's biggest shortcoming was ignoring the rise of mobile devices, the next CEO needs to be able to have the foresight to predict what's next, and have the skill to execute on that vision.

Another operations manager in the mold of Ballmer is not going to deliver on that.

Serving the PC market is still Microsoft's biggest cash cow, so Microsoft's next CEO shouldn't abandon that market by any means. But placing its hopes for a comeback on its past glories or even current hot tech trends will only set the company up for disappointment. It needs to look past that.

Luckily for Microsoft, the company is still in a position to succeed.

Related story: Ballmer gets no retirement pay but he's still crazy rich

One of the next big battles in tech will be control of the Internet TV space. Microsoft was smart enough to position the Xbox as an all-purpose home-entertainment device, and offer tons streaming TV, movies and music -- not just games. It also opened up a studio to develop its own TV content. If the Xbox One sells as well as its predecessor, it may end up having the type of clout Apple desires in the TV space.

Microsoft also has two wild cards in the form of Bing and Skype. Microsoft came very late to the search party and tried to fashion Bing as a search engine easy enough for dumb people, which was a mistake. But there's a second revolution happening in search. Google, Apple and Wolfram are all developing semantic search engines that attempt to figure out what he user actually wants, but none have solved the problem yet. Microsoft needs to strike while the iron is hot.

The same goes for Skype. Right now, messaging is fractured between Google Hangouts, Facebook (FB) Messenger, Whatsapp, iMessage, Line, Kik and more. Microsoft is one of the few companies to have a quality product - Skype - available on nearly every platform. Finding a way to make Skype the nexus for all of our communications is a surefire way to restore Microsoft to relevance.

Alternatively, the next Microsoft CEO could continue to chase low-hanging fruit and watch the company fade into nothingness, much like BlackBerry (BBRY) has.

MIcrosoft has a lot riding on its decision.s To top of page

First Published: August 23, 2013: 3:02 PM ET


21.29 | 0 komentar | Read More
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