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Warren Buffett is bullish ... on women

Written By limadu on Kamis, 02 Mei 2013 | 19.33

THO20 warren buffett katharine graham

Warren Buffett with the late Katharine Graham of the Washington Post at his 50th-birthday party in 1980

(Fortune)

In the flood of words written recently about women and work, one related and hugely significant point seems to me to have been neglected. It has to do with America's future, about which -- here's a familiar opinion from me -- I'm an unqualified optimist. Now entertain another opinion of mine: Women are a major reason we will do so well.

Start with the fact that our country's progress since 1776 has been mind-blowing, like nothing the world has ever seen. Our secret sauce has been a political and economic system that unleashes human potential to an extraordinary degree. As a result Americans today enjoy an abundance of goods and services that no one could have dreamed of just a few centuries ago.

But that's not the half of it -- or, rather, it's just about the half of it. America has forged this success while utilizing, in large part, only half of the country's talent. For most of our history, women -- whatever their abilities -- have been relegated to the sidelines. Only in recent years have we begun to correct that problem.

Despite the inspiring "all men are created equal" assertion in the Declaration of Independence, male supremacy quickly became enshrined in the Constitution. In Article II, dealing with the presidency, the 39 delegates who signed the document -- all men, naturally -- repeatedly used male pronouns. In poker, they call that a "tell."

Finally, 133 years later, in 1920, the U.S. softened its discrimination against women via the 19th Amendment, which gave them the right to vote. But that law scarcely budged attitudes and behaviors. In its wake, 33 men rose to the Supreme Court before Sandra Day O'Connor made the grade -- 61 years after the amendment was ratified. For those of you who like numbers, the odds against that procession of males occurring by chance are more than 8 billion to one.

Watch an interview with Warren Buffett on women, work, and other wisdom

When people questioned the absence of female appointees, the standard reply over those 61 years was simply "no qualified candidates." The electorate took a similar stance. When my dad was elected to Congress in 1942, only eight of his 434 colleagues were women. One lonely woman, Maine's Margaret Chase Smith, sat in the Senate.

Resistance among the powerful is natural when change clashes with their self-interest. Business, politics, and, yes, religions provide many examples of such defensive behavior. After all, who wants to double the number of competitors for top positions?

But an even greater enemy of change may well be the ingrained attitudes of those who simply can't imagine a world different from the one they've lived in. What happened in my own family provides an example. I have two sisters. The three of us were regarded, by our parents and teachers alike, as having roughly equal intelligence -- and IQ tests in fact confirmed our equality. For a long time, to boot, my sisters had far greater "social" IQ than I. (No, we weren't tested for that -- but, believe me, the evidence was overwhelming.)

The moment I emerged from my mother's womb, however, my possibilities dwarfed those of my siblings, for I was a boy! And my brainy, personable, and good-looking siblings were not. My parents would love us equally, and our teachers would give us similar grades. But at every turn my sisters would be told -- more through signals than words -- that success for them would be "marrying well." I was meanwhile hearing that the world's opportunities were there for me to seize.

So my floor became my sisters' ceiling -- and nobody thought much about ripping up that pattern until a few decades ago. Now, thank heavens, the structural barriers for women are falling.

MORE: How Gen-Y women can close the pay gap

Still an obstacle remains: Too many women continue to impose limitations on themselves, talking themselves out of achieving their potential. Here, too, I have had some firsthand experience.

Among the scores of brilliant and interesting women I've known is the late Katharine Graham, long the controlling shareholder and CEO of the Washington Post Co. (WPO) Kay knew she was intelligent. But she had been brainwashed -- I don't like that word, but it's appropriate -- by her mother, husband, and who knows who else to believe that men were superior, particularly at business.

When her husband died, it was in the self-interest of some of the men around Kay to convince her that her feelings of inadequacy were justified. The pressures they put on her were torturing. Fortunately, Kay, in addition to being smart, had an inner strength. Calling on it, she managed to ignore the baritone voices urging her to turn over her heritage to them.

I met Kay in 1973 and quickly saw that she was a person of unusual ability and character. But the gender-related self-doubt was certainly there too. Her brain knew better, but she could never quite still the voice inside her that said, "Men know more about running a business than you ever will."

I told Kay that she had to discard the fun-house mirror that others had set before her and instead view herself in a mirror that reflected reality. "Then," I said, "you will see a woman who is a match for anyone, male or female."

I wish I could claim I was successful in that campaign. Proof was certainly on my side: Washington Post stock went up more than 4,000% -- that's 40 for 1 -- during Kay's 18 years as boss. After retiring, she won a Pulitzer Prize for her superb autobiography. But her self-doubt remained, a testament to how deeply a message of unworthiness can be implanted in even a brilliant mind.

MORE: Warren Buffett may be souring on stocks

I'm happy to say that funhouse mirrors are becoming less common among the women I meet. Try putting one in front of my daughter. She'll just laugh and smash it. Women should never forget that it is common for powerful and seemingly self-assured males to have more than a bit of the Wizard of Oz in them. Pull the curtain aside, and you'll often discover they are not supermen after all. (Just ask their wives!)

So, my fellow males, what's in this for us? Why should we care whether the remaining barriers facing women are dismantled and the fun-house mirrors junked? Never mind that I believe the ethical case in itself is compelling. Let's look instead to your self-interest.

No manager operates his or her plants at 80% efficiency when steps could be taken that would increase output. And no CEO wants male employees to be underutilized when improved training or working conditions would boost productivity. So take it one step further: If obvious benefits flow from helping the male component of the workforce achieve its potential, why in the world wouldn't you want to include its counterpart?

Fellow males, get onboard. The closer that America comes to fully employing the talents of all its citizens, the greater its output of goods and services will be. We've seen what can be accomplished when we use 50% of our human capacity. If you visualize what 100% can do, you'll join me as an unbridled optimist about America's future.

This story is from the May 20, 2013 issue of Fortune. To top of page

First Published: May 2, 2013: 6:47 AM ET


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GM trims European losses

gm earnings

GM earnings fell but smaller losses in Europe was good news for investors.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The company earned $1.1 billion in the quarter, excluding special charges, down from the $1.6 billion it earned on that basis a year earlier.

Reduced sales in its home North American market and reduced profitability in the international unit that includes China, its largest market, led to the drop in profit. The South American unit also swung to a small loss from a profit in the 2012 period.

But the company reported progress in stemming losses in Europe, cutting the shortfall in that unit by $119 million to $175 million in the period. Europe has become a major focus for investor worry about automakers' results.

Shares of GM (GM, Fortune 500) shot up 4% in premarket trading immediately following the report.

While GM has turned around operations in North America that dragged it into bankruptcy in 2009, Europe continues to be a drain on its operations. It has lost more than $15 billion in Europe since the start of the century.

Last week, GM announced plans to shut plants it operates in Bochum, Germany, by 2014 as part of an effort to return its European brands, Opel and Vauxhaul, to profitability by 2015. It has said it plans to invest €4 billion, or $5.3 billion, in Europe as part of its turnaround plans.

The problems in Europe are not unique to GM. A worsening European recession has resulted in the worst industry-wide auto sales on the continent in 20 years.

Last week, Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500) reported strong North American results that were dragged down by rising losses in Europe. German carmaker Daimler AG (DDAIF) reported a 60% drop in net profit for the first quarter and warned 2013 earnings will be below 2012 levels.

Volkswagen (VLKAF) also warned it is struggling with what it called "ongoing uncertainty in the economic environment." But it said it still hopes to match 2012 operating profit this year on growth outside of Europe. To top of page

First Published: May 2, 2013: 8:00 AM ET


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Hedge fund manager: Fed should rev up 'printing press'

helicopter ben bernanke

A hedge fund manager said the Federal Reserve should use its printing press to buy up government debt.

LOS ANGELES (CNNMoney)

Speaking at the Milken Institute Global Conference Wednesday, Arbess said that Fed chairman Ben Bernanke could do a better job at keeping his "Helicopter Ben" nickname. In case you've forgotten, Bernanke was given that moniker during the financial crisis when he suggested dropping money from a helicopter to fight deflation.

Arbess knows debt. He's sometimes called a vulture investor since his multibillion dollar hedge fund Xerion invests in troubled companies around the world.

He said the Fed is seeing diminishing returns even though it continues to increase the size of its balance sheet.

"The growth of the money supply has been anemic," said Arbess. Money is sitting in banks instead of making it back into the economy, he said, noting "Quantitative easing is starting to reach its limits."

Here's where "overt monetary finance" or "helicopter money" comes in, said Arbess, explaining that the Fed could bypass fiscal policies that are currently hurting the economy, such as the sequester, and give money directly to the Treasury.

But that may go against the Fed's mandate. The central bank is strictly tasked with using monetary policy to fight inflation and high unemployment.

Arbess said it's the government that's the problem. Fiscal policy or profligate spending is preventing the Fed from achieving its goals.

Bernanke said pretty much the same thing Wednesday. The Fed released its monetary policy statement during Arbess' panel, and it explicitly criticized the government for "restraining economic growth."

Related: Federal Reserve sticks with stimulus

In a note to investors, BTIG's chief global strategist Dan Greenhaus said Bernanke has "come as close as any Fed chairman to outright criticism of policymakers."

Arbess was also one of a number of top executives at the Milken Conference to suggest the Fed has reached the limits of what it can do with its current toolbox.

Adding a new tool to help the government cut taxes and invest in projects that would bolster growth without adding to the nearly $17 trillion of U.S. debt sounds tempting but Arbess also pointed out that it could be dangerous.

"The obvious objection is that we will lose all control of our ability to manage the economy," he said. Congress might see few reasons to rein in spending if the Fed will pay its bills.

Arbess said the Fed could help staunch some of those concerns by tying funding to specific GDP growth and inflation targets.

But runaway inflation would still be a big concern, he said.

Economist and author Niall Ferguson agreed. He said history shows such a move by the Fed would likely produce excessive inflation.

And in what might be the harshest commentary on just how worried people are about the Fed's current policies, a panel that included Ferguson, venture capitalist Peter Thiel and two hedge fund managers weren't dismissive of Arbess' proposal, and he certainly wasn't laughed off the stage. To top of page

First Published: May 2, 2013: 8:26 AM ET


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Hard-up France sells presidential wine

Written By limadu on Rabu, 01 Mei 2013 | 21.29

french wine selloff

The French government is preparing to auction more than 12,000 bottles of fine wine

LONDON (CNNMoney)

The move comes as governments across Europe look to tighten their belts and tone down displays of lavish spending. Austerity budgets have squeezed living standards for many and left millions out of work.

Wine aficionados will have the chance to snag a bottle on the cheap, with many bottles set to sell for less than 100 euros, which is equivalent to $132.

A spokesperson at the Parisian auction house Drouot, which is organizing the sale at the end of May, estimates that the wines will fetch 250,000 euros - a drop in the ocean of France's 100 billion euro budget deficit.

Related: The lucrative business of cigarette smuggling

The 12,000-plus bottles that are going under the hammer will range in price from 15 euros to 2,200 euros, according to Drouot estimates.

The majority of the wines being sold are from the Bordeaux and Burgundy regions, and all of the wines have been served to presidents past and present.

The upcoming sale represents 10% of the presidential wine cellar.

France borrowed more than expected last year as its economy stagnated, and it may need more time to meet EU budget targets.

This is the second time this year that a European government has felt compelled to hold a wine auction. In March, the U.K. teamed up with Christie's to hold its first-ever wine auction, raising nearly £75,000 that will be used to subsidize the cost of entertaining foreign guests. To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 8:30 AM ET


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Businesses were more hesitant to hire in April

adp jobs hiring

Hiring by private businesses slowed in April, according to ADP's jobs report.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Private sector employers added only 119,000 jobs in April, the weakest month for hiring since September, according to a report issued Wednesday by payroll-processing firm ADP (ADP, Fortune 500). That figure was a disappointment. Economists had expected the report to show the private sector added 150,000 jobs in April.

According to ADP, manufacturers alone cut 10,000 jobs. But construction firms hired 15,000 employees.

Meanwhile, March hiring was revised lower to show private employers added 131,000 jobs, 27,000 fewer jobs than reported earlier.

Hiring has slowed particularly among small businesses with 20 to 49 employees. They hired only 17,000 workers in April. This phenomenon could be partly due to health care reform measures. The law requires businesses with 50 or more full-time employees to start providing insurance in 2014, or face fines.

"That 50-employee threshold is important and it feels like health care reform is having an impact," said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics. "If you look at the slowdown in job growth in the last few months, it's primarily among companies that are small."

Small business owners continue to say taxes and government regulations are their two biggest problems, according to a monthly survey by the National Federation of Independent Business.

These are weak signs ahead of the key monthly jobs report released by the Labor Department on Friday. Unlike ADP's data, that report also includes jobs figures from federal, state, and local governments.

Overall, governments have cut 80,000 jobs over the past six months. Economists surveyed by CNNMoney expect Friday's report to show the government cut another 10,000 jobs in April. To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 8:38 AM ET


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Stocks: Investors begin May by selling

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

With worries of another spring swoon on the mind, investors began May by taking a step back. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.4% Wednesday morning, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% and the Nasdaq declined 0.1%.

Fears of a pullback have been growing, as stocks have been on a tear for the past several months. The S&P 500 closed April at a record high, the Nasdaq finished at its highest level in more than 12 years, and the Dow ended just a hair below its all-time high. But those milestones have been reached amid a still-fragile economy.

Investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve's policy-making committee to wrap up its two-day meeting for any signs as to how long it will continue its aggressive monetary policies. The market is widely expecting the central bank will continue its bond buying program to keep supporting the U.S. economy.

Related: Fear & Greed Index gets greedy

Investors will also look to a handful of economic reports that come ahead of the government's monthly jobs data due Friday.

Payroll processor ADP published its monthly data on private-sector jobs, showing that only 119,000 jobs were added in April, below forecasts.

Also, the Fed will release data on construction spending at 10 a.m. ET.

In corporate news, CNNMoney parent Time Warner (TWX, Fortune 500) reported a dip in first quarter sales but a jump in profit, propelled by "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey," a box office hit surpassing $1 billion.

Genworth Financial's (GNW, Fortune 500) stock price surged after the company said that its quarterly profit more than doubled.

Comcast (CMCSA) reported an increase in profit and revenue, which the company attributed to the success of video and high-speed internet subscriptions.

Shares of MasterCard (MA, Fortune 500) slipped, despite the credit card company reporting a quarterly increase in sales and profit.

Facebook (FB) is on deck to report earnings in the afternoon.

Apple's (AAPL, Fortune 500) stock price edged down, a day after rising more than 3% ahead of it record $17 billion bond sale.

Related: Marissa Meyer's first year pay: $6 million

Most European markets are closed for a holiday, but the U.K. remains open and its benchmark index, the FTSE 100, is pushing ahead with some modest gains.

"Today will likely be fairly quiet as it seems like most of Asia and much of Europe are on holiday," said Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid, in a note to investors.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei declined 0.4%.

Exchanges in Hong Kong and Shanghai were closed. The Chinese government reported disappointing manufacturing numbers for the month of April, with purchasing managers indicating a slowdown in growth. To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 9:49 AM ET


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Bull-market mergers: 5,985 and counting

fsa bull market

Deals, business expansions, mergers and acquisitions have been on a tear since last fall, reaching record levels.

(Money Magazine)

While the $656 billion in deals for companies like LucasFilm and Heinz (HNZ, Fortune 500) reflects buyers' faith in the U.S. economy (deals overseas have lagged), the readiness to pay up may also signal a late-stage bull market. So pick your own purchases carefully.

Your field guide

Buy the bankers: Ride growing interest in the financial sector; firms thrive on rising market and consumer confidence and get paid for deals they broker. Invest via Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) or Oppenheimer Equity Income (OAEIX), a Morningstar five-star fund holding M&A players (sales charge: 5.75%).

Protect your yield: Make sure your favorite dividend stocks can raise payouts even if they deploy cash on deals and business expansions.

Related: 6 high-dividend, blue-chip stocks

Under the "key ratios" tab at Morningstar.com, look for a payout ratio -- the share of dividends to earnings -- below 40%. "Low ratios mean companies aren't stretching themselves to pay dividends," says S&P analyst Howard Silverblatt.

Look for value: As prices rise, lower your risk of overpayment by focusing on funds that hunt for bargains, says James Paulsen of Wells Capital Management. One option: MONEY 70 fund T. Rowe Price Equity Income (PRFDX), which holds cheaper stocks than its value-index benchmark.

Related: How to use P/E and other stock valuation tools To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 7:55 AM ET


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Time Warner earnings up

game of thrones piracy

The HBO series "Game of Thrones" is set to become the second most watched show on the premium cable network.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The company whose holdings include Warner Bros. studios, HBO, Turner Broadcasting and CNN, as well as CNNMoney, reported the improved earnings despite little change in revenue. It also said it remains on track to achieve its previous earnings guidance.

During the quarter, the Time Warner announced plans to spin off the Time Inc. unit, publisher of magazines such as Time, Sports Illustrated and Fortune. Stock in the division will go to Time Warner shareholders as a separate company.

It also announced plans to cut 6% of the Time Inc. staff. Restructuring and severance costs at Time Inc. and elsewhere in the company rose to $80 million during the quarter from $27 million a year ago.

Related: Can Time Inc. make it on its own?

The company said it got a lift from its movie "The Hobbit" doing more than $1 billion at the box office worldwide, most of it in the first quarter. It was the fourth-biggest grossing film in the company's history. It also said its HBO series "Game of Thrones" is poised to become the most-watched show on the premium cable network since "The Sopranos."

Related: Game of Thrones sets piracy record

Overall, the company earned adjusted net income of $785 million, up 19% from a year earlier and better than expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. It was helped by an 11% increase in earnings at its networks division, its largest unit, and a 23% jump in income from its studios unit. Publishing, which includes Time Inc., posted a $9 million operating loss, wider than the $4 million operating loss a year earlier.

Shares of Time Warner (TWX, Fortune 500) were not trading in the premarket following the report. Shares are up 25% year-to-date through Tuesday's close, comparable to gains at some other major media companies, including Walt Disney (DIS, Fortune 500) and CBS (CBS, Fortune 500), and well ahead of gains at Comcast (CMCSA) and News Corp. (NWS) To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 7:45 AM ET


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Hard-up France sells presidential wine

french wine selloff

The French government is preparing to auction more than 12,000 bottles of fine wine

LONDON (CNNMoney)

The move comes as governments across Europe look to tighten their belts and tone down displays of lavish spending. Austerity budgets have squeezed living standards for many and left millions out of work.

Wine aficionados will have the chance to snag a bottle on the cheap, with many bottles set to sell for less than 100 euros, which is equivalent to $132.

A spokesperson at the Parisian auction house Drouot, which is organizing the sale at the end of May, estimates that the wines will fetch 250,000 euros - a drop in the ocean of France's 100 billion euro budget deficit.

Related: The lucrative business of cigarette smuggling

The 12,000-plus bottles that are going under the hammer will range in price from 15 euros to 2,200 euros, according to Drouot estimates.

The majority of the wines being sold are from the Bordeaux and Burgundy regions, and all of the wines have been served to presidents past and present.

The upcoming sale represents 10% of the presidential wine cellar.

France borrowed more than expected last year as its economy stagnated, and it may need more time to meet EU budget targets.

This is the second time this year that a European government has felt compelled to hold a wine auction. In March, the U.K. teamed up with Christie's to hold its first-ever wine auction, raising nearly £75,000 that will be used to subsidize the cost of entertaining foreign guests. To top of page

First Published: May 1, 2013: 8:30 AM ET


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Wall Street lifted by Italy

Written By limadu on Senin, 29 April 2013 | 21.29

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

U.S. stocks opened higher Monday, taking a cue from Europe, where investors cheered the formation of a new Italian government. Enrico Letta was sworn in as Italy's prime minister, ending weeks of political deadlock and uncertainty in a country mired by recession.

The news pushed Italian stocks up more than 1%, while Italian bond yields dropped to their lowest levels in more than two years.

The Dow Jones industrial average edged up 0.1%, the S&P 500 added 0.2%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.3%.

U.S. stocks are on track to end April with gains this week, which would mark the fourth straight positive month this year.

Click here for more on stocks, oil, gold, and bonds

Expectations of a further rate cut from the European Central Bank and continued monetary support from the Federal Reserve later this week were also lending support.

"The ECB meeting may be the most interesting event this week," wrote Marc Chandler, strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman, adding that the ECB indicated earlier this month that if economic data worsened, it was prepared to cut interest rates.

Related: World's five hottest stock markets

Investors also mulled a report on U.S. personal income and spending. At 10 a.m. ET, the National Association of Realtors will release data on pending home sales.

What's moving: J.C. Penney (JCP, Fortune 500) shares rose sharply after the struggling retailer officially said it had secured a $1.75 billion loan from Goldman Sachs. Shares were also boosted by a New York Post report that claimed "at least" two major hedge funds have taken significant stakes in Penney, with one's investment worth over $10 billion.

In other corporate news, JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) announced Sunday that another of CEO Jamie Dimon's key executives, co-chief operating officer Frank Bisignano, is leaving the firm.

Earnings continue to roll in, with controversial supplements company Herbalife (HLF) and gun maker Sturm Ruger (RGR) set to release their quarterly results after the close. To top of page

First Published: April 29, 2013: 9:45 AM ET


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